Tuesday, 28 February 2012

Harbl the Cat's Rules for Trading Precious Metals

These are my personal rules for buying, selling, and swapping precious metals.  They're like the pirate code: they're more like "guidelines."  As far as I can tell, provided the precious metal bull market is in tact, I think these rules are valid.

I develop these rules as I make mistakes or smart decisions personally (mostly from mistakes).  Your mileage may vary in using these rules, but I post them here as a personal reference and in the hopes it may help educate you if you decide to invest in precious metals.

Buying
  • Never buy precious metals with a credit card or line of credit - pay cash only and only if you have covered all your other expenses first
  • If you don't have an ounce of gold or silver to your name, dollar cost average to buy a small amount regardless of price
  • If you identify a buying opportunity, leave at least 25% of your cash and do not go all in
  • Always buy silver when there's a 30% price correction within a month
  • Always buy gold when there's a 10% price correction within a month
  • If you have an existing stack, buy gold, silver, or platinum when the price is under their 200 day moving average
  • Keep some cash in the event the precious metals touch their 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis lows, relative to their 200 day moving average:
    • Silver was at 0.51 times it's 200 day moving average 
    • Gold was at 0.81 times it's 200 day moving average 
    • Platinum was at 0.56 times it's 200 day moving average
Selling
  • NEVER sell anything with the intention to hold fiat currency for more than a week.  
  • NEVER sell ALL of your metal
  • Sell with the intention of trading for another metal
  • Silver at 1.5 to 1.77 times it's 200 Day Moving Average is a good time to sell for fiat
  • Gold at 1.15 to 1.29 times it's 200 Day Moving Average is a good time to sell for fiat
  • Platinum at 1.15 to 1.40 times it's 200 Day Moving Average is a good time to sell for fiat
Swapping
  • Never swap all of your metal for another metal
  • 1.6 platinum to gold is a good ratio to trade a small amount of platinum for gold or silver (depending on the gold to silver ratio)
  • 2.2 platinum to gold is a good ratio to trade a large amount of platinum for gold or silver (depending on the gold to silver ratio)
  • 50:1 gold to silver is a good ratio to trade a small amount of gold for silver
  • 80:1 gold to silver is a good ratio to trade a large amount of gold for silver
  • 20:1 gold to silver is a good ratio to trade a small amount of silver for gold
  • 9:1 gold to silver is a good ratio to trade a large amount of silver for gold

6 comments:

  1. Silver is up another dollar today, correction in full swing?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Any ideas why gold is down $80 and silver down $2.50 today? Is this the last buying opportunity?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ben Bernanke came out and insinuated the economy might improve and the Fed might not continue it's loose monetary policy or announce QE3. He's a delusional, lying scum bag and I personally don't believe it for a minute.

      There will always be more buying opportunities, that said the price of silver dipped below it's 200 day moving average for about 5 minutes today, and I personally followed all the rules I set out here. I don't know if there will be a violent correction to the high 20's, low 30's, but it could happen, so again, I didn't go all in.

      Delete
  3. Harbl,

    Those are some nice trading rules you have listed. Very good approach. Job well done.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Silver Gold Bull is a highly trusted silver and gold dealer. They will provide you with competitive, up-to-minute rates and they will make sure that your precious metals are delivered to your door discreetly and securely.

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