Platinum historically is priced 1.6-2.2 times higher than gold, and a few news letters and blogs (sovereignman.com and survivalblog.com being two big ones) I subscribe to highly recommended them, with the price being approximately 0.9 the price of gold. All the local dealers in my town were sold out, so I ended up ordering 2x 1oz Platinum Maples from APMEX.
I had a bit of a realization looking at some of the price charts. I am very bullish on silver, however, I am going to start diversifying into other metals as well (gold and platinum for now, maybe palladium a bit down the road).
Starting with gold:
Having broke through th trendline I drew last pay day AND the 200 day moving average, I bought. $1540 and $1485 I think would be the next entry points.
Silver:
Again, the lower trendline from last pay cheque was broken. The next resistence of $26.83 was hit as of this writing, meaning $24 and $25 look like good targets.
Not pictured here is a down trend from the top of Sept 1, 2011 to a top around Dec 6, 2011. Where that intersects the long term trendline, is about Feb 2012. If silver tops that trendline, it has a long way to go to take out the downtrend set after the crash of May 2011 that won't be resolved by Sept 2012 at the latest.
In a separate post, I'll write about this phenomenon, but by the chart, it looks like a similiar pattern developed in response to the 2008 financial crisis. There was an established uptrend dating back to around the start of the bull silver market (in 2003) then the big smack down in 2008. I'm going to be watching for that pattern to repeat itself - and if it does, I think there will be a VERY brief period of time where the price will hit $25 (or lower - $22 or lower would be an OMGWTFBBQGETYOURHANDSONSOMESILVER price).
What this means is STACK STACK STACK. 2012, I think is going to be the year to buy, buy, buy silver (with paper dollars). There might be a period of time to trade gold for silver, but I think that will correspond very closely with silver hitting it's bottom (which I don't think it has yet).
Don't despair either way. So long as you don't sell, you cannot lose. In my 10 year silver price analysis series, I made the case for the next top in silver occuring sometime between February 2013 and June 2014. That being the case, I think the low prices we are going to see in 2012 ARE A BLESSING and the extra time you have now is A GIFT.
BrotherJohnF did a video a few days back where he made a Fibonacci series calculation on what kind of move we could see when silver tops. On the high end, if I recall correctly, it was about $350. I'm still sticking to my projection though, of $53 at the low end (but I highly doubt it will be that low), $150 at the high end. Either way - $27 silver IS A MONSTER BUYING OPPORTUNITY.
Gold to silver:
I went the WRONG WAY and bought some gold right on the break out above the upper trendline. I don't regret it, even if it was a bit of an impulse buy. Me personally, I won't swap any gold for silver unless the ratio is between 70 and 83 (which I do think is coming).
Platinum:
I don't have much to say about platinum. It's a bit more of a speculative buy than anything, but again, I want to diversify into other assets. For me, my sell point will be around the time the platinum:gold ratio is within it's historical range of 1.6-2.2.
It looks like platinum could be due for a big correction too, so I plan (if possible) to buy some on the way down.
Conclusion:
Fiat to PM:
BUY BUY BUY.
Gold to silver:
Maybe - again, still holding out to see if silver bottoms out. 70-80 would be a big indicator to do so.
Silver to gold:
No
Platinum to gold:
No
Platinum to silver:
No
Until next pay cheque, keep stacking and Happy New Years everyone!
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